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2021 China HDI Market Report Sample
May 11, 2022    [Source:PUdaily]

 

Part I: 2021 HDI Market Review and Forecast

 

Market Review: In 2021, the shortage of HDI that began in the second half of 2020 was not eased, but intensified. On January 11, Germany's Covestro declared force majeure in the supply of HDI due to a fire in the supplier's related equipment. On February 16, INVISTA's two adiponitrile(AND) and two hexanediamine(HAD) plants in Texas, USA, and Ascend's ADN and HDA plants in Alabama, on the periphery of Texas, were both seriously affected by extremely cold weather. And the two HDA giants declared force majeure at the same time. These plants contributed 65% and 50% of the global production of ADN and HDA respectively. Under these major events, the global supply situation of HDA became very severe, and the road to recovery would be long. As HDA is the most important raw material for the production of HDI products, its supply which was hit hard caused huge pressure on suppliers both in terms of cost and supply. After Chinese Spring Festival, some downstream coating manufacturers gradually resumed production, and demand further picked up. However, due to the shortage of raw materials, suppliers were cautious in offers, and thus transactions plummeted. There were limited goods held by middlemen, who had obvious intentions to sell at low prices. Offers for bulks were around CNY 60,000-70,000/ton, and the market price had a strong upward trend. In the beginning of April, the price of HDI trimer in the secondary market exceeded CNY 100,000/ton. Under the impact of rapid increase in the price of HDI curing agent, the downstream demand, which gradually recovered, turned sluggish, which seemingly restrained the price increase. However, on April 21, BASF announced that it received a force majeure notice from the supplier, and the supply of HDI products further tightened. Due to the force majeure, the high price of HDI continued. The market price maintained around CNY 100,000~110,000/ton for nearly a month, and goods in the secondary market were in short supply. On May 12, Covestro announced that the force majeure was lifted, and the long-standing supply shortage was finally eased. At the same time, the HDI market price gradually fell as the downstream demand was suppressed. By the beginning of July, the market price of HDI trimer fell to around CNY 80,000/ton. In July, Butachimie, a supplier of Germany's BASF, announced that the force majeure originally scheduled to be lifted at the end of June would continue until the end of September; Japan's Asahi Kasei planned HDI device maintenance; and Wanhua, which has the largest HDI production capacity in China, also started an overhaul of HDI equipment, and therefore the market price of HDI rose again. In the beginning of August, the market returned to a high of CNY 85,000/ton, and was consolidated until October. 

Future Forecast: From the perspective of demand, the price of chemical materials continued to rise from the beginning of 2021, causing a sharp increase in the cost of coatings. The main raw materials in the coating industry accounted for over 80% in the cost. Many coating manufacturers tried to relieve the cost pressure through increasing prices. However, the industrial concentration of coatings was weaker than that of HAD, HDI and other raw materials, thus the transmission of cost factor was slower. In particular, small-size coating manufacturers were poor in price negotiation, and thus their profit margins were further squeezed, resulting in low production willingness. The overall growth rate of the industry fell weakly. But looking forward to the second half of the year, the US government issued a series of active fiscal policies, with abundant global liquidity and high inflation; the steady recovery of the European economy will boost Chinese exports to a certain extent; the infrastructure construction in China is expected to accelerate in the second half of the year; as the consumer price inflation is still slowly rising, PPI will remain high in the next half year. The growth rate of large coating manufacturers is expected to keep robust in the second half of 2021, while the supply shortage of HDA will be difficult to fundamentally solve in a short period. Under this supply-demand relationship, HDI market price will remain high in the future.

 

Part II: Core Contents and Highlights of China HDI Market Research Report 2021 

1.   Change trend of China’s and global HDI capacity and output in the past five years: especially including the current situation of China’s and global HDI capacity, new capacity plan, output, etc. which are detailed to suppliers.
 
2.   Change trend of HDI supply-demand relationship in China and the world in the past five years: on supply side, especially including the sales situation, sales direction and strategic focus adjustment of HDI suppliers. On demand side, including the operation of downstream industries in each segment, the change of HDI consumption, the performance and profitability of major downstream enterprises and their future change trend.
 
3.   Market price and profit analysis of China’s and Asian HDI in the past five years: especially including annual market price trend, the production cost and profitability of HDI suppliers, and forecasts of future price and profit trends.
  

Highlights of the report:

 

a) The information covered is comprehensive, including the global capacity statistics of upstream raw materials ADN and HDA. 

 b) In-depth research on downstream consumption, including the demand, consumption and development trend of HDI in various consumer industries.

 c) The price strategy of HDI curing agent is refined to large, medium and small customers. 

 

Part III: Partial Contents of China HDI Market Research Report 2021
 
HDI Curing Agent Capacity in China from 2017 to 2021 (unit: 10,000 tons)

Supplier
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Covestro
**
**
**
**
**
BASF
**
**
**
**
**
Asahi Kasei
**
**
**
**
**
Wanhua
**
**
**
**
**
Total
**
**
**
**
**

 
HDI Curing Agent Consumption in China from 2017 to 2021 (unit: ton)

Year
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Consumption/ton
**
**
**
**
**
Growth rate
**
**
**
**
**

 
Downstream Consumption of HDI Curing Agent in China in 2021 (unit: ton)

HDI Downstream
2021
Car repairing coating
**
Industrial protective coating
**
Wood coating
**
Automotive OEM coating
**
Marine coatings
**
Others
**
Total of curing agents
**

 
 
Part IV: Catalogue of China HDI Market Research Report 2021
 

Overview of Highlights

 
 
Part V: Related Product Reports and Subscription Methods
 

Related Product Reports:

Ø 2021 China TDI Market Report
Ø 2021 China Polyether Polyol Market Research Report
Ø 2021 China MDI Market Report
Ø 2021 China CPU Market Research Report
 
 
 
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